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8/8/2020 0 Comments

The CCC growth rate increases, meaning Honolulu CCC accelerating.

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[August 8, 2020, 11:55 am]
  1.  From Aug. 5 to 7 (for two days), the Honolulu CCC increased 51+296 = 347
  2. The Honolulu CCC on Sunday, Aug. 23, was predicted as 3,259 on Aug. 5, which increased until now to 3,492.
  3. The bottom number of the red zone is about 3,200, but with the current trend of increasing growth rate, it is reasonably expected that the Honolulu CCC will reach 5,000.
  4. As previously decided, online instruction of UH is an entirely appropriate decision.
​Student opininons
  1. The Honolulu CCC seems to reach the danger zone soon unless the spreading rate is mitigated shortly by any means. 
  2. The green line would indicate a probable stage of the Honolulu CCC if the third wave did not start in late July.
  3. Comparing the current situation and a possible scenario of no third wave, we estimate that the minimum difference of the expected Honolulu CCC  much more than 1,000.
  4. Daily new confirmed cases and their growth patterns of Honolulu county are much severer than those of Hawai'i, Maui, and Kauai counties, which can be partially ascribed to the high population density of Honolulu county. (See http://www.hicovid.net/statewide.html)
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    ​We are Civil Engineering students at the University of Hawaii at Manoa, who are dedicated to informing the public on this pandemic and how science could be used to predicts future cases.

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