The third wave superseded the second wave.

[August 6, 2020, 11:30 pm]

1.  If the current trend continues, the Honolulu CCC will reach at least 3,259 by August 23, 2020. (Seth)
2. The latest growth rate of the Honolulu CCC is unprecedented anywhere in the state of Hawai'i. (Brenton and Mia)
3. ​The vague--also almost disappearing--latency period of the second wave confirms the recent start of the third wave. (Brenton)
4. As the waves progress, the number of CCC that each wave generated increases: 405 (until mid-June) from the first wave, an additional 1,400 (until July 24) from the second wave, and at least 2,000 (and more) solely from the third wave. (Brenton)
5. ​Suppose the intuitive increase (indicated by the black dotted arrow) of the Honolulu CCC trend continues. In that case, the Honolulu CCC will enter the red zone (in the figure above) of an uncontrollable, severe situation. (Mia)
6. Due to the upcoming closure of specific activities and the return of inter-island quarantine, in Mayor Kirk Caldwell “Act With Care — Do Not Gather” order, more frequent observations are necessary for the next two or three weeks. (Seth)
7. The current forecasting may start having large ranges of errors because the daily occurrence number is highly fluctuating. It is also essential to keep track of how the data-based prediction changes with time. (Mia)
8. As of now, we are currently in a precarious state. Therefore, decreases in the CCC in days to follow doesn't mean the situation is mitigated due to recent closures. (Seth)
9. If the initiation of the third wave is primarily due to social gatherings before and after the Independence day (July 4), then trend observation of at least two to three weeks (from now) is necessary to see the impact of the potential 30-day lockdown.  (Lieutenant Governor Green hints at potential 30-day lockdown)