The worst scenario is coming true.

1. Regardless of the recovered cases of Honolulu county, the increase in the cumulative confirmed cases is accelerating.  
2. Forecasting accuracy depends on how to extrapolate using the previous data patterns. Today, we release the results of a new method that we have developed for the past few weeks.
3. If the current trend continues, the Honolulu CCC will be between the top orange dashed line and the bottom red solid line, which has an extensive range. Not only averaging results from different approaches, we independently developed a new model, showing its forecasting as the blue line: 6,759 by 8/23 and 9,797 by 8/31.  See Table above for CCC on late dates.
4. Honolulu CCC is following those of Lebanon and Albania. Please, check here.
5. Honolulu CCC increases as fast as Libya, and will reach the level of Japan in about 1 or 2 months.